Sunday, February 10, 2013

Signifying Nothing

From James Taranto's "Questions Nobody is Asking" department:

Don’t worry, Dick Morris isn’t going anywhere, according to Dick Morris. 
The high-profile pundit, who was dropped by the Fox New Channel this week says: “I’m not gone. I’ve been all over the place and will continue to be. I’ll be back.” 
Nor is he done making bold predictions. “My record of predictions is actually pretty good,” Morris says. “While I was certainly wrong this year, I haven’t been all that wrong in the past. . . . I’ll continue to call it as I see it. I’m not going to average the predictions [to arrive at a safe middle ground].” 
As for Fox’s decision, “this business has ins and outs and ups and downs, and they were obviously upset because I was so wrong about the election, and wrong at the top of my lungs,” he says. In the end, his prediction was off, but he cites CNN and Gallup polls and adds, “I was not alone.” 
He’ll “continue to make noise,” Morris says. He plans to do it through as many media as possible — radio, TV, speeches, and his daily videos, which he e-mails to about 550,000 people. He says maybe someday he’ll be back at Fox.

The lessons Morris would have us learn from 2012:

Republicans lost the race, he says, because they made the same mistake he did when he made his famously wrong prediction about a Romney landslide: Both errors stem from a misunderstanding of America’s demographic changes. When Republicans won in 2010, it was easy to believe things had returned to normal. But the 2012 presidential election showed that the GOP’s electorate model “was wrong, and it was wrong for all times.” Latinos, women, and gays are “voters who would like to be Republican,” he says. “The Republican party just isn’t letting them.” Those groups are critical to the GOP’s future success, he says. 
Republicans don’t want to embrace immigration reform in part because they think Hispanics will vote for Democrats, he says. And Hispanics would vote Republican, except Republican resistance to immigration reform has convinced Hispanics that they’re a reviled group. Marco Rubio’s immigration bill would be “an excellent start” to break a “vicious cycle.”

I hate to even waste time with a response but I will do it anyway.  Victor Davis Hanson would disagree vehemently with Morris's "analysis" above:

Various polls suggest that immigration was not the primary reason why Latinos voted overwhelmingly for Barack Obama. 
When the Pew Research Center recently surveyed Latinos and asked whether they preferred high taxes and big government or low taxes and small government, they preferred high taxes and big government by a 75–19 margin. And they usually see liberal Democrats as far better stewards of redistributionist government, and Republicans more as heartless advocates of a capricious free market. 
Asian Americans, for whom illegal immigration is not really an issue, voted for Democrats by about the same margins as did Latinos — and perhaps because of similar perceptions of minority-friendly big government.

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